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Sources of Biases> Cognitive Bias

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Topics

Estimated time: 13 minutes
  • Introduction
  • Definition: Counter Factual Thinking
  • The Cognitive Model
  • Storms' Study (1973)
  • Counterfactual Thinking
  • Connection Between Cognitive Bias and Counterfactual Thinking
  • Key Points: Cognitive Bias
CISCE: Class 12

Introduction

Lack of information leads people to take mental shortcuts, causing attributional biases.Cognitive bias is a systematic error in thinking due to simplified information processing.

CISCE: Class 12

Definition: Counter Factual Thinking

Counter factual thinkings are biases which are not based on objective facts or reasons, but based on imagination and hypothetical views.

CISCE: Class 12

The Cognitive Model

  • Attribution biases are caused by information-processing limitations, not bad intentions.
  • The brain filters and simplifies information, which sometimes distorts social judgments.
CISCE: Class 12

Storms' Study (1973)

  • Michael D. Storms at Yale University studied how visual perspective affects attributions.
  • Two actors conversed while two observers watched; videotape was used to reverse viewpoints.
  • Normally, actors blamed the situation while observers blamed the actor's personality.
  • When perspectives were reversed via videotape, the attributions also reversed.
  • Storms called this "cognitively driven attribution biases" — biases shaped by what a person can observe.
CISCE: Class 12

Counterfactual Thinking

  • Means "counter to the facts" — imagining "What if?" alternatives to events that already happened.
  • Based on imagination and hypothetical views, not on objective facts.
  • Creates bias because different people imagine different alternatives and reach different conclusions about the same event.
CISCE: Class 12

Connection Between Cognitive Bias and Counterfactual Thinking

  • Limited information → cognitive shortcuts → attribution biases.
  • Storms proved that visual perspective directly determines attributions.
  • When thinking moves from facts to imagination, it becomes counterfactual and further distorts attributions.
CISCE: Class 12

Key Points: Cognitive Bias

  • Cognitive Bias: Lack of information leads people to use mental shortcuts, causing errors in judgment.
  • Cognitive Model: Attribution biases occur due to limits in human information processing.
  • Storms’ Study (1973): Visual perspective affects how people make attributions.
  • Counterfactual Thinking: Imagining alternatives to events that did not actually happen.
  • Connection: Limited information and imagination together can distort judgments about people and events.

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