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Inflationary Gap

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Topics

Estimated time: 16 minutes
  • Introduction
  • Definition: Inflationary Gap
  • Numerical Example — Step by Step
  • Diagrammatic Representation
  • Effects of Excess Demand
  • Key Points: Inflationary Gap
CISCE: Class 12

Introduction

J.M. Keynes — the famous British economist — introduced this idea in his pamphlet called "How to Pay for the War".
He was thinking about wartime Britain, where the government was spending huge amounts on the war. This extra government spending was not matched by a cut in people's consumption. Result? More money, same amount of goods → prices shot up.

CISCE: Class 12

Definition: Inflationary Gap

“Inflationary gap is an excess of total disposable income over the value of the available supply of goods at a specified price level sufficient to cause an inflation of prices.” — Webster Dictionary

“The inflationary gap is defined as the excess of aggregate demand over the available supply of output measured at the full employment level of money income at existing level of prices.” — Dernburg and McDougall

“Inflationary gap is then the difference between what the population will try to consume out of their income and the amount available for consumption at pre-inflation prices.” — Dr. Klein

CISCE: Class 12

Numerical Example — Step by Step

Step 1: How much money do people actually have to spend?

  ₹ (in Crores)
Total national income earned 1,000
— Taxes paid to the government − 100
— Savings (not spent) − 100
Money available to spend (Disposable Income) 800

Step 2: How many goods are actually available?

  ₹ (in Crores)
Total national output (GNP at pre-inflation prices) 900
— Used for war/defence − 200
Goods available for people to buy 700

Step 3: Find the Gap

Inflationary Gap = 800 − 700 = ₹100 Crores
People want to spend ₹800 crores, but goods worth only ₹700 crores exist. The extra ₹100 crores chases the same goods — so prices rise!

How can the gap be reduced?

  • Raise taxes → less disposable income
  • Encourage more savings
  • Increase supply of goods
CISCE: Class 12

Diagrammatic Representation

Part of Diagram What It Tells You
45° Line The balance line — where income = expenditure (economy is in equilibrium)
C+I+G Original spending line. Meets the 45° line at point A — no gap here
C+I+G′ New, higher spending line after government spends more
YF Full employment income — output cannot go beyond this
AB (the gap) The Inflationary Gap — demand is higher than what the economy can supply
CISCE: Class 12

Effects of Excess Demand

Effect On What Happens Why?
Employment  No change The economy is already at full employment — everyone is already working
Output / Production  No increase Resources are fully used; output can rise only if technology improves
Prices  Rise (Inflation) More money chases fewer goods → prices keep rising until balance is restored
CISCE: Class 12

Key Points: Inflationary Gap

  • Introduced by J.M. Keynes in "How to Pay for the War"
  • Formula: Disposable Income − Net Output for Consumption
  • Arises only at full employment when AD > AS
  • Only prices rise — employment and output stay the same
  • Fixed by contractionary fiscal and monetary policy

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