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Developmental Path - a Snapshot View

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Estimated time: 15 minutes
CBSE: Class 12

Introduction

  • India, Pakistan and China began their developmental path around the same time.
  • India and Pakistan became independent in 1947; People’s Republic of China was established in 1949.
  • All three countries adopted planning through Five Year Plans.
CBSE: Class 12

Common Planning Approach

  • India: First Five Year Plan, 1951–56; followed Five Year Plans till March 2017.
  • Pakistan: First Five Year Plan (Medium Term Development Plan) started in 1956; currently 12th Plan (2018–23).
  • China: First Five Year Plan started in 1953; currently 14th Plan (2021–25).
  • India and Pakistan adopted similar strategies of large public sector and higher social sector expenditure.
  • Till the 1980s, all three had similar growth rates and per capita incomes.
CBSE: Class 12

China’s Developmental Path

  • One-party rule brought critical sectors, enterprises and individual lands under government control.
  • Great Leap Forward (GLF) campaign, 1958, aimed at massive industrialisation with backyard industries.
  • Rural communes were created for collective cultivation; about 26,000 communes existed in 1958.
  • GLF faced problems: severe drought killing about 30 million people and withdrawal of Russian professionals.
  • Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution (1966–76) sent students and professionals to the countryside.
CBSE: Class 12

China’s Economic Reforms (since 1978)

  • Reforms introduced in phases, starting with agriculture, foreign trade and investment.
  • Commune lands were divided into small plots for household use, not ownership.
  • Households kept all income after paying stipulated taxes.
  • Later, private sector firms and township/village enterprises were allowed to produce goods.
  • State Owned Enterprises faced competition.
  • Dual pricing introduced: part of output at government-fixed prices, remaining at market prices.
  • As production rose, the share of market transactions increased.
  • Special economic zones were set up to attract foreign investors.
CBSE: Class 12

Pakistan’s Developmental Path

  • Pakistan follows a mixed economy with public and private sectors.
  • Late 1950s–1960s: regulated import substitution-based industrialisation with tariff protection and import controls.
  • Green Revolution led to mechanisation, higher public infrastructure investment and increased foodgrain output.
  • Agrarian structure changed significantly.
  • 1970s: capital goods industries were nationalised.
  • Late 1970s–1980s: policy shifted towards denationalisation and encouragement of private sector.
  • Pakistan received financial support from western nations and remittances from emigrants to the Middle-east.
  • These factors stimulated economic growth and created a climate for new investments.
  • Reforms were initiated in 1988.
CBSE: Class 12

Key Points: Developmental Path – A Snapshot View

  • All three countries started development around the same time under planned economic strategies.
  • India and Pakistan had similar public-sector-led, social-expenditure-focused approaches and similar growth till the 1980s.
  • China’s early development involved GLF, communes, drought and the Cultural Revolution.
  • Post-1978, China adopted phased reforms, dual pricing and special economic zones.
  • Pakistan moved from regulated import substitution and nationalisation to denationalisation, private sector promotion and reforms supported by external finance and remittances.

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Read the following text carefully and answer the following question:

SINO-PAK FRIENDSHIP CORRIDOR

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has deepened the decades-long strategic relationship between the two nations. But it has also sparked criticism for burdening Pakistan with mountains of debt and allowing China to use its debt-trap diplomacy to gain access to strategic assets of Pakistan.

The foundations of CPEC, part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, were laid in May 2013. At the time, Pakistan was reeling under weak economic growth. China committed to play an integral role in supporting Pakistan’s economy.

Pakistan and China have a strategic relationship that goes back decades. Pakistan turned to China at a time when it needed a rapid increase in external financing to meet critical investments in hard infrastructure, particularly power plants and highways. CPEC’s early harvest projects met this need, leading to a dramatic increase in Pakistan’s power generation capacity, bringing an end to supply-side constraints that had made rolling blackouts a regular occurrence across the country.

Pakistan leaned into CPEC, leveraging Chinese financing and technical assistance in an attempt to end power shortages that had paralyzed its country’s economy. Years later, China’s influence in Pakistan has increased at an unimaginable pace.

China As Pakistan’s Largest Bilateral Creditor: China’s ability to exert influence on Pakistan’s economy has grown substantially in recent years, mainly due to the fact that Beijing is now Islamabad’s largest creditor. According to documents released by Pakistan’s finance ministry, Pakistan’s total public and publicly guaranteed external debt stood at $44.35 billion in June 2013, just 9.3 percent of which was owed to China. By April 2021, this external debt had ballooned to $90.12 billion, with Pakistan owing 27.4 percent –$24.7 billion – of its total external debt to China, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Additionally, China provided financial and technical expertise to help Pakistan build its road infrastructure, expanding north-south connectivity to improve the efficiency of moving goods from Karachi all the way to Gilgit-Baltistan (POK). These investments were critical in better integrating the country’s ports, especially Karachi, with urban centers in Punjab and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa provinces.

Despite power asymmetries between China and Pakistan, the latter still has tremendous agency in determining its own policies, even if such policies come at the expense of the long-term socioeconomic welfare of Pakistani citizens.

Analyse the implication of bilateral ‘debt-trap’ situation of Pakistan vis-a-vis the Chinese Economy.

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