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Four candidates A, B, C, D have applied for the assignment to coach a school cricket team. If A is twice as likely to be selected as B, and B and C are given about the same chance of being selected,

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प्रश्न

Four candidates A, B, C, D have applied for the assignment to coach a school cricket team. If A is twice as likely to be selected as B, and B and C are given about the same chance of being selected, while C is twice as likely to be selected as D, what are the probabilities that A will not be selected?

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उत्तर

Given that A is twice as likely to be selected as B

i.e. P(A) = 2P(B)

And C is twice as likely to be selected as D

∴ P(C) = 2P(D)

⇒ P(B) = 2P(D)

⇒ `(P(A))/2` = 2P(D)

⇒ P(D) = `1/4`P(A)

Now B and C are given about the same chance

∴ P(B) = P(C)

Since, sum of all probabilities = 1

∴ P(A) + P(B) + P(C) + P(D) = 1

⇒ `P(A) + (P(A))/2 + (P(A))/2 + (P(A))/4` = 1

⇒ 4P(A) + 2P(A) + 2P(A) + P(A) = 4

⇒ 9P(A) = 4

⇒ P(A) = `4/9`

P(A will not be selected) = P(A') = 1 – P(A)

= `1 - 4/9`

= `5/9`

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अध्याय 16: Probability - Exercise [पृष्ठ २९७]

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एनसीईआरटी एक्झांप्लर Mathematics Exemplar [English] Class 11
अध्याय 16 Probability
Exercise | Q 9.(b) | पृष्ठ २९७

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