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The following table gives the aptitude test scores and productivity indices of 10 workers selected at random.

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Question

The following table gives the aptitude test scores and productivity indices of 10 workers selected at random.

Aptitude score (X) 60 62 65 70 72 48 53 73 65 82
Productivity Index (Y) 68 60 62 80 85 40 52 62 60 81

Obtain the two regression equations and estimate the productivity index of a worker whose test score is 95.

Sum
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Solution

Here, X = Aptitude score, Y = Productivity index

X = xi Y =yi `"x"_"i" - bar"x"` `bar"y"_"i" - bar"y"` `("x"_"i" - bar"x")^2` `("y"_"i" - bar"y")^2` `("x"_"i" - bar"x")("y"_"i" - bar"y")`
60 68 -5 3 25 9 -15
62 60 -3 -5 9 25 15
65 62 0 -3 0 9 0
70 80 5 15 25 225 75
72 85 7 20 49 400 140
48 40 -17 -25 289 625 425
53 52 -12 -13 144 169 156
73 62 8 -3 64 9 -24
65 60 0 -5 0 25 0
82 81 17 16 289 256 272
650 650 - - 894 1752 1044

From the table, we have

n = 10, ∑ xi = 650,  ∑ yi = 650

∴ `bar"x" = (sum "x"_"i")/"n" = 650/10 = 65`

`bar"y" = (sum "y"_"i")/"n" = 650/10 = 65`

Since the mean of X and Y are whole numbers, we will use the formula

`"b"_"YX" = (sum ("x"_"i" - bar"x")("y"_"i" - bar"y"))/(sum("x"_"i" - bar"x")^2) and  "b"_"XY" = (sum ("x"_"i" - bar"x")("y"_"i" - bar"y"))/(sum("y"_"i" - bar"y")^2)`

From the table, we have

`sum ("x"_"i" - bar"x")("y"_"i" - bar"y") = 1044, sum ("x"_"i" - bar"x")^2 = 894, sum ("y"_"i" - bar"y") = 1752`

`"b"_"YX" = (sum ("x"_"i" - bar"x")("y"_"i" - bar"y"))/(sum("x"_"i" - bar"x")^2) = 1044/894 = 1.16`

Now, `"a" = bar"y" - "b"_"YX" bar"x"`

= 65 - 1.16 × 65 = 65 - 75.4 = - 10.4

∴ The regression equation of productivity index (Y) on Aptitude score (X) is

Y = a + bYX X

∴ Y = - 10.4 + 1.16 X

For X = 95,

Y = - 10.4 + 1.16(95) = - 10.4 + 110.2 = 99.8

∴ The productivity index of worker with a test score of 95 is 99.8.

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Types of Linear Regression
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Chapter 3: Linear Regression - Exercise 3.1 [Page 41]

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