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HSC Commerce (Marathi Medium) 12th Standard Board Exam [इयत्ता १२ वी] - Maharashtra State Board Question Bank Solutions for Mathematics and Statistics

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Mathematics and Statistics
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Obtain the trend values for the data, using 3-yearly moving averages

Year 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981
Production 0 4 4 2 6 8
Year 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986  
Production 5 9 4 10 10  
[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Use the method of least squares to fit a trend line to the data given below. Also, obtain the trend value for the year 1975.

Year 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969
Production
(million barrels)
0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5
Year 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976  
Production
(million barrels)
6 8 9 9 8 7 10  
[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

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The following table shows the production of gasoline in U.S.A. for the years 1962 to 1976.

Year 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969
Production
(million barrels)
0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5
Year 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976  
Production
(million barrels)
6 7 8 9 8 9 10  
  1. Obtain trend values for the above data using 5-yearly moving averages.
  2. Plot the original time series and trend values obtained above on the same graph.
[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Following table shows the all India infant mortality rates (per ‘000) for years 1980 to 2010

Year 1980 1985 1990 1995
IMR 10 7 5 4
Year 2000 2005 2010  
IMR 3 1 0  

Fit a trend line by the method of least squares

Solution: Let us fit equation of trend line for above data.

Let the equation of trend line be y = a + bx   .....(i)

Here n = 7(odd), middle year is `square` and h = 5

Year IMR (y) x x2 x.y
1980 10 – 3 9 – 30
1985 7 – 2 4 – 14
1990 5 – 1 1 – 5
1995 4 0 0 0
2000 3 1 1 3
2005 1 2 4 2
2010 0 3 9 0
Total 30 0 28 – 44

The normal equations are

Σy = na + bΣx

As, Σx = 0, a = `square`

Also, Σxy = aΣx + bΣx2

As, Σx = 0, b =`square`

∴ The equation of trend line is y = `square`

[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Obtain trend values for data, using 3-yearly moving averages
Solution:

Year IMR 3 yearly
moving total
3-yearly moving
average

(trend value)
1980 10
1985 7 `square` 7.33
1990 5 16 `square`
1995 4 12 4
2000 3 8 `square`
2005 1 `square` 1.33
2010 0
[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Fit equation of trend line for the data given below.

Year Production (y) x x2 xy
2006 19 – 9 81 – 171
2007 20 – 7 49 – 140
2008 14 – 5 25 – 70
2009 16 – 3 9 – 48
2010 17 – 1 1 – 17
2011 16 1 1 16
2012 18 3 9 54
2013 17 5 25 85
2014 21 7 49 147
2015 19 9 81 171
Total 177 0 330 27

Let the equation of trend line be y = a + bx   .....(i)

Here n = `square` (even), two middle years are `square` and 2011, and h = `square`

The normal equations are Σy = na + bΣx

As Σx = 0, a = `square`

Also, Σxy = aΣx + bΣx2

As Σx = 0, b = `square`

Substitute values of a and b in equation (i) the equation of trend line is `square`

To find trend value for the year 2016, put x = `square` in the above equation.

y = `square`

[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Complete the table using 4 yearly moving average method.

Year Production 4 yearly
moving
total
4 yearly
centered
total
4 yearly centered
moving average
(trend values)
2006 19  
    `square`    
2007 20   `square`
    72    
2008 17   142 17.75
    70    
2009 16   `square` 17
    `square`    
2010 17   133 `square`
    67    
2011 16   `square` `square`
    `square`    
2012 18   140 17.5
    72    
2013 17   147 18.375
    75    
2014 21  
       
2015 19  
[12] Time Series
Chapter: [12] Time Series
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Choose the correct alternative:

The Cost of Living Index Number using Weighted Relative Method is given by

[13] Index Numbers
Chapter: [13] Index Numbers
Concept: undefined >> undefined

State whether the following statement is True or False:

For Cost of Living Index Number CLI =`(sum"IW")/(sum"W")`, where I = `("P"_0)/("P"_1) xx 100` and w = p0q0

[13] Index Numbers
Chapter: [13] Index Numbers
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Calculate the Cost of Living Index by Family Budget method in following example where W are wages of base year and I are current year price relatives.

Group Food Clothing Fuel and
Lighting
House
Rent
Miscellaneous
I 150 140 100 120 200
W 4 3 3 4 6
[13] Index Numbers
Chapter: [13] Index Numbers
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Find the missing wage if the Cost of Living Index for the following data is 150.

Group Food Clothing Fuel and
Lighting
House
Rent
Miscellaneous
I 200 150 140 100 120
W 6 4 x 3 4
[13] Index Numbers
Chapter: [13] Index Numbers
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Choose the correct alternative:

Machine Job
A B C D
I 5 6 8 4
II 4 7 9 10

The optimal sequence for above data is

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Choose the correct alternative:

If there are 3 machines A, B and C, conditions for reducing a 3 machine problem to a 2 machine problem with respect to minimum processing time is ______

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

If there are n jobs and m machines, then there will be _______ sequence of doing jobs.

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

Choose the correct alternative:

In solving 2 machine and n jobs sequencing problem, the following assumption is wrong

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

In assignment problem each worker or machine is ______ capable of handling any job

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

______ time is the time when the machine is available but is waiting for a job to be processed

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

In sequencing problem the time required to transfer a job from one machine to another is ______

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

State whether the following statement is True or False: 

One of the assumptions is made while sequencing n jobs on 2 machines is: two jobs must be loaded at a time on any machine

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined

State whether the following statement is True or False:

The Total Elapsed is the time required to complete all the jobs i.e. entire task

[15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Chapter: [15] Assignment Problem and Sequencing
Concept: undefined >> undefined
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