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The probability that a man who is 45 years old will be alive till he becomes 70 is 512. The probability that his wife who is 40 years old will be alive till she becomes 65 is 38. What is the probabi

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Question

The probability that a man who is 45 years old will be alive till he becomes 70 is `5/12`. The probability that his wife who is 40 years old will be alive till she becomes 65 is `3/8`. What is the probability that, 25 years hence,

  1. the couple will be alive
  2. exactly one of them will be alive
  3. none of them will be alive
  4. at least one of them will be alive
Sum
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Solution

Let A ≡ event that man who is 45 will be alive till age 70.

B ≡ event that wife who is 40 will be alive till age 65.

It is given that,

P(A) = `5/12`, P(B) = `3/8`

∴ P(A') = 1 – P(A) = `1 - 5/12 = 7/12` 

∴ P(B') = 1 – P(B) = `1 - 3/8 = 5/8`

Since A and B are independent events,

A' and B' are also independent events.

(a) Let event C: Both man and his wife will be alive.

∴ P(C) = P(A ∩ B) = P(A) · P(B)

`= 5/12 xx 3/8`

`= 5/32`

(b) Let event D: Exactly one of them will be alive.

∴ P(D) = P(A' ∩ B) + P(A ∩ B')

= P(A') · P(B) + P(A) · P(B')

`= (7/12 xx 3/8) + (5/12 xx 5/8)`

`= 21/96 + 25/96`

`= 46/96 = 23/48`

(c) Let event E: None of them will be alive.

∴ P(E) = P(A' ∩ B') + P(A') · P(B')

`= 7/12 xx 5/8`

`= 35/96`

(d) Let event F: At least one of them will be alive.

∴ P(F) = 1 - P(none of them will be alive)

`= 1 - 35/96`

`= 61/96`

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Chapter 9: Probability - Exercise 9.3 [Page 206]

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