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An urn contains four tickets marked with numbers 112, 121, 122, 222 and one ticket is drawn at random. Let Ai (i = 1, 2, 3) be the event that ith digit of the number of the ticket drawn is 1.

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Question

An urn contains four tickets marked with numbers 112, 121, 122, 222 and one ticket is drawn at random. Let Ai (i = 1, 2, 3) be the event that ith digit of the number of the ticket drawn is 1. Discuss the independence of the events A1, A2, and A3.

Sum
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Solution

One ticket can be drawn out of 4 tickets in 4C1 = 4 ways.
∴ n(S) = 4
According to given information,
Let A1 be the event that 1st digit of the number of ticket is 1
A2 be the event that 2nd digit of the number of ticket is 1.
A3 be the event that 3rd digit of the number of ticket is 1.
∴ A1 = {112, 121, 122}, A2 = {112}, A3 = {121}

∴ `"P"("A"_1) = ("n"("A"_1))/("n"("S")) = 3/4`,

`"P"("A"_2) = ("n"("A"_2))/("n"("S")) = 1/4`,

`"P"("A"_3) = ("n"("A"_3))/("n"("S")) = 1/4`

`{:("P"("A"_1) "P"("A"_2) = 3/16),("P"("A"_2) "P"("A"_3) = 1/16),("P"("A"_1) "P"("A"_3) = 3/16):}}`   ...(i)

A1 ∩ A2 = {112}, A2 ∩ A3 = Φ, A1 ∩ A3 = {121}

`{:("P"("A"_1 ∩ "A"_2) = ("n"("A"_1 ∩ "A"_2))/("n"("S")) = 1/4),("P"("A"_2 ∩ "A"_3) = 0),("P"("A"_1 ∩ "A"_3) = 1/4):}}`   ...(ii)

∴ From (i) and (ii),
`{:("P"("A"_1)*"P"("A"_2) ≠ "P"("A"_1 ∩ "A"_2)),("P"("A"_2)*"P"("A"_3) ≠ "P"("A"_2 ∩ "A"_3)),("P"("A"_1)*"P"("A"_3) ≠ "P"("A"_1 ∩ "A"_3)):}}`   ...(iii)

∴ A1, A2, A3 are not pairwise independent
For mutual independent of events A1, A2, A3 We require to have
P(A1 ∩ A2 ∩ A3) = P(A1) P(A2) P(A3)
and P(A1) P(A2) = P(A1 ∩ A2),
P(A2) P(A3) = P(A2 ∩ A3),
P(A1) P(A3) = P(A1 ∩ A3)
∴ From (iii),
A1, A2, A3 are not mutually independent.

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Chapter 7: Probability - Miscellaneous Exercise 7 [Page 110]

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