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प्रश्न
Discuss about irregular variation
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उत्तर
Irregular Variations: These variations do not have a particular pattern and there is no regular period of time of their occurrences.
These are accidental changes that are purely random or unpredictable.
Normally they are short-term variations, but their occurrence sometimes has its effect so intense that they may give rise to new cyclic or other movements of variations.
For example floods, wars, earthquakes, Tsunami, strikes, lockouts, etc
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Define Time series
What is the need for studying time series?
State the different methods of measuring trend
The following figures relates to the profits of a commercial concern for 8 years
| Year | Profit (₹) |
| 1986 | 15,420 |
| 1987 | 15,470 |
| 1988 | 15,520 |
| 1989 | 21,020 |
| 1990 | 26,500 |
| 1991 | 31,950 |
| 1992 | 35,600 |
| 1993 | 34,900 |
Find the trend of profits by the method of three yearly moving averages
The sales of a commodity in tones varied from January 2010 to December 2010 as follows:
| In Year 2010 | Sales (in tones) |
| Jan | 280 |
| Feb | 240 |
| Mar | 270 |
| Apr | 300 |
| May | 280 |
| Jun | 290 |
| Jul | 210 |
| Aug | 200 |
| Sep | 230 |
| Oct | 200 |
| Nov | 230 |
| Dec | 210 |
Fit a trend line by the method of semi-average
Calculate the seasonal indices from the following data using the average method:
| Year | I Quarter | II Quarter | III Quarter | IV Quarter |
| 2008 | 72 | 68 | 62 | 76 |
| 2009 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 72 |
| 2010 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 76 |
| 2011 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 72 |
| 2012 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
The following table shows the number of salesmen working for a certain concern:
| Year | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 |
| No. of salesman |
46 | 48 | 42 | 56 | 52 |
Use the method of least squares to fit a straight line and estimate the number of salesmen in 1997
Choose the correct alternative:
The components of a time series which is attached to short term fluctuation is
The sum of the series `log_4 2 - log_8 2 + log_16 2 + ...............` to `oo` is
What is the sum of the first 50 terms of the series (1 × 3) + (3 × 5) + (5 × 7) + ...?
