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प्रश्न
Explain cyclic variations
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उत्तर
These variations are not necessarily uniformly periodic in nature.
That is, they may or may not follow exactly similar patterns after equal intervals of time.
Generally, one cyclic period ranges from 7 to 9 years and there is no hard and fast rule in the fixation of year for a cyclic period.
For example, every business cycle has a Start-Boom – Depression.
Recover, maintenance during booms and depressions, changes in government monetary policies, changes in interest rates.
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Define Time series
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
Discuss about irregular variation
Define seasonal index
Compute the average seasonal movement for the following series
| Year | Quarterly Production | |||
| I | II | III | IV | |
| 2002 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 2203 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3. | 4.1 |
| 2004 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 37 | 4.2 |
| 2005 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | 4.4 |
| 2006 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
Use the method of monthly averages to find the monthly indices for the following data of production of a commodity for the years 2002, 2003 and 2004
| 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
| 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 18 | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 19 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 18 | 16 | 20 |
| 17 | 18 | 1 |
| 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 18 | 15 | 20 |
Using three yearly moving averages, Determine the trend values from the following data.
| Year | Profit | Year | Profit |
| 2001 | 142 | 2007 | 241 |
| 2002 | 148 | 2008 | 263 |
| 2003 | 154 | 2009 | 280 |
| 2004 | 146 | 2010 | 302 |
| 2005 | 157 | 2011 | 326 |
| 2006 | 202 | 2012 | 353 |
Fit a straight line trend by the method of least squares to the following data
| Year | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 |
| Sales | 50.3 | 52.7 | 49.3 | 57.3 | 56.8 | 60.7 | 62.1 | 58.7 |
The sum of the infinite series `x + (1 + 2)/(2!) x^2 + (1 + 2 + 3)/(3!) x^3 +` .... equals
What is the sum of the first 50 terms of the series (1 × 3) + (3 × 5) + (5 × 7) + ...?
