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प्रश्न
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
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उत्तर
Seasonal Variations: As the name suggests, tendency movements are due to nature which repeat themselves periodically in every seasons.
These variations repeat themselves in less than one year time.
It is measured in an interval of time.
Seasonal variations may be influenced by natural force, social customs and traditions.
These variations are the results of such factors which uniformly and regularly rise and fall in the magnitude.
For example, selling of umbrellas’ and raincoat in the rainy season, sales of cool drinks in summer season, crackers in deepawali season, purchase of dresses in a festival season, sugarcane in Pongal season.
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Compute the average seasonal movement for the following series
| Year | Quarterly Production | |||
| I | II | III | IV | |
| 2002 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 2203 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3. | 4.1 |
| 2004 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 37 | 4.2 |
| 2005 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | 4.4 |
| 2006 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
The following table gives the number of small-scale units registered with the Directorate of Industries between 1985 and 1991. Show the growth on a trend line by the free hand method.
| Year | No. of units (in '000) |
| 195 | 10 |
| 986 | 22 |
| 1987 | 36 |
| 198 | 62 |
| 1989 | 55 |
| 1990 | 0 |
| 1991 | 34 |
| 1992 | 50 |
The sales of a commodity in tones varied from January 2010 to December 2010 as follows:
| In Year 2010 | Sales (in tones) |
| Jan | 280 |
| Feb | 240 |
| Mar | 270 |
| Apr | 300 |
| May | 280 |
| Jun | 290 |
| Jul | 210 |
| Aug | 200 |
| Sep | 230 |
| Oct | 200 |
| Nov | 230 |
| Dec | 210 |
Fit a trend line by the method of semi-average
The following table shows the number of salesmen working for a certain concern:
| Year | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 |
| No. of salesman |
46 | 48 | 42 | 56 | 52 |
Use the method of least squares to fit a straight line and estimate the number of salesmen in 1997
Choose the correct alternative:
Factors responsible for seasonal variations are
Choose the correct alternative:
The seasonal variation means the variations occurring with in
From the following data, calculate the trend values using fourly moving averages.
| Year | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 |
| Sales | 506 | 620 | 1036 | 673 | 588 | 696 | 1116 | 738 | 663 |
A bullet of mass m and velocity a is fired into a large block of wood of mass M The final velocity of the system is
The sum of the series `log_4 2 - log_8 2 + log_16 2 + ...............` to `oo` is
The sum of the series 3.6 + 4.7 + 5.8 + ....... upto (n – 2) terms
