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प्रश्न
Explain cyclic variations
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उत्तर
These variations are not necessarily uniformly periodic in nature.
That is, they may or may not follow exactly similar patterns after equal intervals of time.
Generally, one cyclic period ranges from 7 to 9 years and there is no hard and fast rule in the fixation of year for a cyclic period.
For example, every business cycle has a Start-Boom – Depression.
Recover, maintenance during booms and depressions, changes in government monetary policies, changes in interest rates.
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संबंधित प्रश्न
What is the need for studying time series?
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
State the two normal equations used in fitting a straight line
Find the trend of production by the method of a five-yearly period of moving average for the following data:
| Year | Production ('000) |
| 1979 | 126 |
| 1980 | 123 |
| 1981 | 117 |
| 1982 | 128 |
| 1983 | 125 |
| 1984 | 124 |
| 1985 | 130 |
| 1986 | 114 |
| 1987 | 122 |
| 1988 | 129 |
| 1989 | 118 |
| 1990 | 123 |
The annual production of a commodity is given as follows:
| Year | production (in tones) |
| 1995 | 155 |
| 1996 | 162 |
| 1997 | 171 |
| 19988 | 182 |
| 1999 | 158 |
| 2000 | 880 |
| 2001 | 178 |
Fit a straight line trend by the method of least squares
Calculate the seasonal indices from the following data using the average method:
| Year | I Quarter | II Quarter | III Quarter | IV Quarter |
| 2008 | 72 | 68 | 62 | 76 |
| 2009 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 72 |
| 2010 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 76 |
| 2011 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 72 |
| 2012 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
Choose the correct alternative:
The components of a time series which is attached to short term fluctuation is
Choose the correct alternative:
The value of ‘b’ in the trend line y = a + bx is
The sum of the infinite series `x + (1 + 2)/(2!) x^2 + (1 + 2 + 3)/(3!) x^3 +` .... equals
What is the sum of the first 50 terms of the series (1 × 3) + (3 × 5) + (5 × 7) + ...?
