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प्रश्न
Discuss about irregular variation
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उत्तर
Irregular Variations: These variations do not have a particular pattern and there is no regular period of time of their occurrences.
These are accidental changes that are purely random or unpredictable.
Normally they are short-term variations, but their occurrence sometimes has its effect so intense that they may give rise to new cyclic or other movements of variations.
For example floods, wars, earthquakes, Tsunami, strikes, lockouts, etc
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Define Time series
What is the need for studying time series?
Define secular trend
Explain cyclic variations
Use the method of monthly averages to find the monthly indices for the following data of production of a commodity for the years 2002, 2003 and 2004
| 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
| 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 18 | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 19 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 18 | 16 | 20 |
| 17 | 18 | 1 |
| 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 18 | 15 | 20 |
The following table shows the number of salesmen working for a certain concern:
| Year | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 |
| No. of salesman |
46 | 48 | 42 | 56 | 52 |
Use the method of least squares to fit a straight line and estimate the number of salesmen in 1997
Choose the correct alternative:
A time series is a set of data recorded
Using three yearly moving averages, Determine the trend values from the following data.
| Year | Profit | Year | Profit |
| 2001 | 142 | 2007 | 241 |
| 2002 | 148 | 2008 | 263 |
| 2003 | 154 | 2009 | 280 |
| 2004 | 146 | 2010 | 302 |
| 2005 | 157 | 2011 | 326 |
| 2006 | 202 | 2012 | 353 |
Fit a straight line trend by the method of least squares to the following data
| Year | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 |
| Sales | 50.3 | 52.7 | 49.3 | 57.3 | 56.8 | 60.7 | 62.1 | 58.7 |
The sum of the series `log_4 2 - log_8 2 + log_16 2 + ...............` to `oo` is
