Question

The required answer in a Bayes' Theorem problem is often a probability of which form?

Options

• \[P(\text{observed event}\mid\text{cause})\]

• \[P(\text{cause})+P(\text{observed event})\]

• \[P(\text{cause}\mid\text{observed event})\]

• \[P(\text{cause})P(\text{observed event})\]

Answer 1

The target is usually the probability of a cause conditional on an observed event. This is the reverse conditional probability represented by \[P(\text{cause}\mid\text{observed event})\].