Advertisements
Advertisements
Question
In a game, a man wins a rupee for a six and loses a rupee for any other number when a fair die is thrown. The man decided to throw a die thrice but to quit as and when he gets a six. Find the expected value of the amount he wins/loses.
Advertisements
Solution
When a die is thrown, then probability of getting a six = 16
then, probability of not getting a six = 1 - 16 = 56
If the man gets a six in the first throw, then
probability of getting a six = 16
If he does not get a six in first throw, but gets a six in second throw, then
probability of getting a six in the second throw = 56×16 = 536
If he does not get a six in the first two throws, but gets in the third throw, then
probability of getting a six in the third throw = 56×56×16 = 25216
probability that he does not get a six in any of the three throws = 56×56×56 = 125216
In the first throw he gets a six, then he will receive Re 1.
If he gets a six in the second throw, then he will receive Re (1 - 1) = 0
If he gets a six in the third throw, then he will receive Rs(-1 - 1 + 1) = Rs (-1),
that means he will lose Re 1 in this case.
Expected value = 16×1 + 56×16 × 0 + 56×56×16×-1 = 11216
So, he will loose Rs 11216.
APPEARS IN
RELATED QUESTIONS
Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack is 40%. Assuming that a meditation and yoga course reduces the risk of heart attack by 30% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chance by 25%. At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options, the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga. Interpret the result and state which of the above stated methods is more beneficial for the patient.
The probability that a certain kind of component will survive a check test is 0.6. Find the probability that exactly 2 of the next 4 tested components survive
A die is thrown three times. Events A and B are defined as below:
A : 5 on the first and 6 on the second throw.
B: 3 or 4 on the third throw.
Find the probability of B, given that A has already occurred.
40% students of a college reside in hostel and the remaining reside outside. At the end of the year, 50% of the hostelers got A grade while from outside students, only 30% got A grade in the examination. At the end of the year, a student of the college was chosen at random and was found to have gotten A grade. What is the probability that the selected student was a hosteler ?
A bag X contains 4 white balls and 2 black balls, while another bag Y contains 3 white balls and 3 black balls. Two balls are drawn (without replacement) at random from one of the bags and were found to be one white and one black. Find the probability that the balls were drawn from bag Y.
If P(A) = 0.8, P(B) = 0.5 and P(B|A) = 0.4, find P(A|B)
Determine P(E|F).
A die is thrown three times,
E: 4 appears on the third toss, F: 6 and 5 appears respectively on first two tosses
A black and a red dice are rolled.
Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5.
A fair die is rolled. Consider events E = {1, 3, 5}, F = {2, 3} and G = {2, 3, 4, 5} Find P (E|G) and P (G|E)
A and B are two events such that P (A) ≠ 0. Find P (B|A), if A is a subset of B.
A die is thrown again and again until three sixes are obtained. Find the probability of obtaining the third six in the sixth throw of the die.
A box has 20 pens of which 2 are defective. Calculate the probability that out of 5 pens drawn one by one with replacement, at most 2 are defective.
Three cards are drawn at random (without replacement) from a well-shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability distribution of the number of red cards. Hence, find the mean of the distribution.
Bag A contains 4 white balls and 3 black balls. While Bag B contains 3 white balls and 5 black balls. Two balls are drawn from Bag A and placed in Bag B. Then, what is the probability of drawing a white ball from Bag B?
In a college, 70% of students pass in Physics, 75% pass in Mathematics and 10% of students fail in both. One student is chosen at random. What is the probability that:
(i) He passes in Physics and Mathematics?
(ii) He passes in Mathematics given that he passes in Physics.
(iii) He passes in Physics given that he passes in Mathematics.
From a pack of well-shuffled cards, two cards are drawn at random. Find the probability that both the cards are diamonds when the first card drawn is replaced in the pack
Select the correct option from the given alternatives :
Bag I contains 3 red and 4 black balls while another Bag II contains 5 red and 6 black balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the bags and it is found to be red. The probability that it was drawn from Bag II
Can two events be mutually exclusive and independent simultaneously?
If A and B are two events such that P(A ∪ B) = 0.7, P(A ∩ B) = 0.2, and P(B) = 0.5, then show that A and B are independent
If for two events A and B, P(A) = `3/4`, P(B) = `2/5` and A ∪ B = S (sample space), find the conditional probability P(A/B)
A problem in Mathematics is given to three students whose chances of solving it are `1/3, 1/4` and `1/5`. What is the probability that the problem is solved?
The probability that a car being filled with petrol will also need an oil change is 0.30; the probability that it needs a new oil filter is 0.40; and the probability that both the oil and filter need changing is 0.15. If the oil had to be changed, what is the probability that a new oil filter is needed?
The probability that a car being filled with petrol will also need an oil change is 0.30; the probability that it needs a new oil filter is 0.40; and the probability that both the oil and filter need changing is 0.15. If a new oil filter is needed, what is the probability that the oil has to be changed?
One bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls. Another bag contains 4 white and 6 black balls. If one ball is drawn from each bag, find the probability that both are white
A year is selected at random. What is the probability that it is a leap year which contains 53 Sundays
Choose the correct alternative:
A letter is taken at random from the letters of the word ‘ASSISTANT’ and another letter is taken at random from the letters of the word ‘STATISTICS’. The probability that the selected letters are the same is
In a multiple-choice question, there are three options out of which only one is correct. A person is guessing the answer at random. If there are 7 such questions, then the probability that he will get exactly 4 correct answers is ______
Find the probability that in 10 throws of a fair die a score which is a multiple of 3 will be obtained in at least 8 of the throws.
If P(A) = `3/10`, P(B) = `2/5` and P(A ∪ B) = `3/5`, then P(B|A) + P(A|B) equals ______.
Two cards are drawn out randomly from a pack of 52 cards one after the other, without replacement. The probability of first card being a king and second card not being a king is:
A bag contains 6 red and 5 blue balls and another bag contains 5 red and 8 blue balls. A ball is drawn from the first bag and without noticing its colour is placed in the second bag. If a ball is drawn from the second bag, then find the probability that the drawn ball is red in colour.
If A and B are two events such that P(A) = `1/3`, P(B) = `1/5` and P(A ∪ B) = `1/2`, then P(A|B') + P(B|A') is equal to ______.
Bag I contains 3 red, 4 black and 3 white balls and Bag II contains 2 red, 5 black and 2 white balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is draw from Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be black in colour. Then the probability, that the transferred ball is red, is ______.
It is given that the events A and B are such that P(A) = `1/4, P(A/B) = 1/2` and `P(B/A) = 2/3`, then P(B) is equal to ______.
If the sum of numbers obtained on throwing a pair of dice is 9, then the probability that number obtained on one of the dice is 4, is ______.
Which conditional probabilities are equal to 1 when \[P(F)\neq 0\]?
Which statement correctly describes the numerator in \[P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}\]?
