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प्रश्न
Using three yearly moving averages, Determine the trend values from the following data.
| Year | Profit | Year | Profit |
| 2001 | 142 | 2007 | 241 |
| 2002 | 148 | 2008 | 263 |
| 2003 | 154 | 2009 | 280 |
| 2004 | 146 | 2010 | 302 |
| 2005 | 157 | 2011 | 326 |
| 2006 | 202 | 2012 | 353 |
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उत्तर
| Year | Profit | 3-Yearly moving total | 3-Yearly moving average |
| 2001 | 142 | - | - |
| 2002 | 148 | 444 | 148 |
| 2003 | 154 | 448 | 149.33 |
| 2004 | 146 | 457 | 152.33 |
| 2005 | 157 | 505 | 168.33 |
| 2006 | 202 | 600 | 200 |
| 2007 | 241 | 706 | 235.33 |
| 2008 | 263 | 784 | 261.33 |
| 2009 | 280 | 845 | 281.67 |
| 2010 | 302 | 908 | 302.67 |
| 2011 | 326 | 981 | 327 |
| 2012 | 353 | - | - |
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संबंधित प्रश्न
Write a brief note on seasonal variations
Explain the method of fitting a straight line
State the two normal equations used in fitting a straight line
The following figures relates to the profits of a commercial concern for 8 years
| Year | Profit (₹) |
| 1986 | 15,420 |
| 1987 | 15,470 |
| 1988 | 15,520 |
| 1989 | 21,020 |
| 1990 | 26,500 |
| 1991 | 31,950 |
| 1992 | 35,600 |
| 1993 | 34,900 |
Find the trend of profits by the method of three yearly moving averages
The following table gives the number of small-scale units registered with the Directorate of Industries between 1985 and 1991. Show the growth on a trend line by the free hand method.
| Year | No. of units (in '000) |
| 195 | 10 |
| 986 | 22 |
| 1987 | 36 |
| 198 | 62 |
| 1989 | 55 |
| 1990 | 0 |
| 1991 | 34 |
| 1992 | 50 |
Use the method of monthly averages to find the monthly indices for the following data of production of a commodity for the years 2002, 2003 and 2004
| 2002 | 2003 | 2004 |
| 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 18 | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 19 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 18 | 16 | 20 |
| 17 | 18 | 1 |
| 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 18 | 15 | 20 |
Calculate the seasonal indices from the following data using the average method:
| Year | I Quarter | II Quarter | III Quarter | IV Quarter |
| 2008 | 72 | 68 | 62 | 76 |
| 2009 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 72 |
| 2010 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 76 |
| 2011 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 72 |
| 2012 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
Choose the correct alternative:
A time series consists of
The sum of the infinite series `x + (1 + 2)/(2!) x^2 + (1 + 2 + 3)/(3!) x^3 +` .... equals
The sum of the series 3.6 + 4.7 + 5.8 + ....... upto (n – 2) terms
