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Refer to Question 41 above. If a white ball is selected, what is the probability that it came from Bag 3

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प्रश्न

Refer to Question 41 above. If a white ball is selected, what is the probability that it came from Bag 3

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उत्तर

We will use here Bayes’ Theorem

`"P"("E"_3/"F") = ("P"("E"_3)*"P"("F"/"E"_3))/("P"("E"_1)*"P"("F"/"E"_1) + "P"("F"/"E"_2) + "P"("E"_3)*"P"("F"/"E"_3))`

= `(3/6*1)/(1/6*0+2/6*1/3 + 3/6*1)`

= `(3/6)/(2/18 + 3/6)`

= `3/6 xx 18/11`

= `9/11`

Hence, the required probabilities are `2/11` and `9/11`.

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अध्याय 13: Probability - Exercise [पृष्ठ २७६]

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एनसीईआरटी एक्झांप्लर Mathematics Exemplar [English] Class 12
अध्याय 13 Probability
Exercise | Q 42.(ii) | पृष्ठ २७६

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