Advertisements
Advertisements
प्रश्न
There is a working women's hostel in a town, where 75% are from neighbouring town. The rest all are from the same town. 48% of women who hail from the same town are graduates and 83% of the women who have come from the neighboring town are also graduates. Find the probability that a woman selected at random is a graduate from the same town
Advertisements
उत्तर
Let the total number of women be 100.
∴ n(S) = 100
Let event N: Women are from neighbouring town,
event W: Women are from same town and
event G: Women are graduates.
Number of women from neighbouring town,
n(N) = 75
Number of women from same town,
n(W) = 25
∴ P(N) = `("n"("N"))/("n"("S")) = 75/100` and
P(W) = `("n"("W"))/("n"("S")) = 25/100`
`"P"("G"//"N"), "P"("G"//"W")` represent probabilities that woman is graduate given that she is from neighbouring town or same town respectively.
∴ `"P"("G"//"N") = ("n"("G"//"N"))/("n"("S")) = 83/100` and
`"P"("G"//"W") = ("n"("G"//"W"))/("n"("S")) = 48/100`
By Bayes’ theorem, the probability that a women selected at random is a graduate from the same town, is given by
`"P"("W"//"G") = ("P"("W") * "P"("G"//"W"))/("P"("W")*"P"("G"//"W") + "P"("N")*"P"("G"//"N"))``
= `((25/100)*(48/100))/((25/100)*(48/100) + (75/100)*(83/100))`
= `(25 xx 48)/((25 xx 48) + (75 xx 83))`
= `48/(48 + 249)`
= `16/99`
APPEARS IN
संबंधित प्रश्न
Three persons A, B and C apply for a job of Manager in a Private Company. Chances of their selection (A, B and C) are in the ratio 1 : 2 :4. The probabilities that A, B and C can introduce changes to improve profits of the company are 0.8, 0.5 and 0.3, respectively. If the change does not take place, find the probability that it is due to the appointment of C
There are three coins. One is a two-headed coin (having head on both faces), another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the times and the third is also a biased coin that comes up tails 40% of the time. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed and it shows heads. What is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?
In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let 3/4 be the probability that he knows the answer and 1/4 be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1/4 What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?
A laboratory blood test is 99% effective in detecting a certain disease when it is in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 0.5% of the healthy person tested (that is, if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1 percent of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?
There are three coins. One is two headed coin (having head on both faces), another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows heads, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?
A card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. From the remaining cards of the pack, two cards are drawn and are found to be both diamonds. Find the probability of the lost card being a diamond.
If A and B are two events such that A ⊂ B and P (B) ≠ 0, then which of the following is correct?
A speaks the truth 8 times out of 10 times. A die is tossed. He reports that it was 5. What is the probability that it was actually 5?
The contents of urns I, II, III are as follows:
Urn I : 1 white, 2 black and 3 red balls
Urn II : 2 white, 1 black and 1 red balls
Urn III : 4 white, 5 black and 3 red balls.
One urn is chosen at random and two balls are drawn. They happen to be white and red. What is the probability that they come from Urns I, II, III?
Suppose a girl throws a die. If she gets 1 or 2, she tosses a coin three times and notes the number of tails. If she gets 3, 4, 5 or 6, she tosses a coin once and notes whether a 'head' or 'tail' is obtained. If she obtained exactly one 'tail', then what is the probability that she threw 3, 4, 5 or 6 with the die?
Two groups are competing for the positions of the Board of Directors of a Corporation. The probabilities that the first and the second groups will win are 0.6 and 0.4 respectively. Further, if the first group wins, the probability of introducing a new product is 0.7 and the corresponding probability is 0.3 if the second group wins. Find the probability that the new product introduced was by the second group.
Suppose 5 men out of 100 and 25 women out of 1000 are good orators. An orator is chosen at random. Find the probability that a male person is selected. Assume that there are equal number of men and women.
There are three coins. One is two-headed coin (having head on both faces), another is biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the times and third is also a biased coin that comes up tail 40% of the times. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, and it shows heads. What is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?
In a certain college, 4% of boys and 1% of girls are taller than 1.75 metres. Further more, 60% of the students in the colleges are girls. A student selected at random from the college is found to be taller than 1.75 metres. Find the probability that the selected students is girl.
There are three coins. One is two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows heads, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?
Coloured balls are distributed in four boxes as shown in the following table:
| Box | Colour | |||
| Black | White | Red | Blue | |
| I II III IV |
3 2 1 4 |
4 2 2 3 |
5 2 3 1 |
6 2 1 5 |
A box is selected at random and then a ball is randomly drawn from the selected box. The colour of the ball is black, what is the probability that ball drawn is from the box III.
There are three categories of students in a class of 60 students:
A : Very hardworking ; B : Regular but not so hardworking; C : Careless and irregular 10 students are in category A, 30 in category B and the rest in category C. It is found that the probability of students of category A, unable to get good marks in the final year examination is 0.002, of category B it is 0.02 and of category C, this probability is 0.20. A student selected at random was found to be one who could not get good marks in the examination. Find the probability that this student is category C.
A box contains 2 blue and 3 pink balls and another box contains 4 blue and 5 pink balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the two boxes and it is found to be pink. Find the probability that it was drawn from first box
A diagnostic test has a probability 0.95 of giving a positive result when applied to a person suffering from a certain disease, and a probability 0.10 of giving a (false) positive result when applied to a non-sufferer. It is estimated that 0.5% of the population are sufferers. Suppose that the test is now administered to a person about whom we have no relevant information relating to the disease (apart from the fact that he/she comes from this population). Calculate the probability that: given a negative result, the person is a non-sufferer
A doctor is called to see a sick child. The doctor has prior information that 80% of the sick children in that area have the flu, while the other 20% are sick with measles. Assume that there is no other disease in that area. A well-known symptom of measles is rash. From the past records, it is known that, chances of having rashes given that sick child is suffering from measles is 0.95. However occasionally children with flu also develop rash, whose chance are 0.08. Upon examining the child, the doctor finds a rash. What is the probability that child is suffering from measles?
A box contains three coins: two fair coins and one fake two-headed coin is picked randomly from the box and tossed. What is the probability that it lands head up?
Solve the following:
The chances of P, Q and R, getting selected as principal of a college are `2/5, 2/5, 1/5` respectively. Their chances of introducing IT in the college are `1/2, 1/3, 1/4` respectively. Find the probability that IT is introduced by Q
There are two identical urns containing respectively 6 black and 4 red balls, 2 black and 2 red balls. An urn is chosen at random and a ball is drawn from it. if the ball is black, what is the probability that it is from the first urn?
The odds in favour of drawing a king from a pack of 52 playing cards is ______.
Suppose that 6% of the people with blood group O are left handed and 10% of those with other blood groups are left handed 30% of the people have blood group O. If a left handed person is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she will have blood group O?
A shopkeeper sells three types of flower seeds A1, A2 and A3. They are sold as a mixture where the proportions are 4:4:2 respectively. The germination rates of the three types of seeds are 45%, 60% and 35%. Calculate the probability that it is of the type A2 given that a randomly chosen seed does not germinate.
A letter is known to have come either from TATA NAGAR or from CALCUTTA. On the envelope, just two consecutive letter TA are visible. What is the probability that the letter came from TATA NAGAR.
In a factory, machine A produces 30% of total output, machine B produces 25% and the machine C produces the remaining output. The defective items produced by machines A, B and C are 1%,1.2%, 2% respectively. An item is picked at random from a day's output and found to be defective. Find the probability that it was produced by machine B?
The Probability that A speaks truth is `3/4` and that of B is `4/5`. The probability that they contradict each other in stating the same fact is p, then the value of 40p is ______.
A speaks truth in 75% of the cases and B in 80% of the cases. The percentage of cases they are likely to contradict each other in making the same statement is ______.
In an entrance test, there are multiple choice questions. There are four possible answers to each question, of which one is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is 90%. If he gets the correct answer to a question, then the probability that he was guessing is ______.
In a company, 15% of the employees are graduates and 85% of the employees are non-graduates. As per the annual report of the company, 80% of the graduate employees and 10% of the non-graduate employees are in the Administrative positions. Find the probability that an employee selected at random from those working in administrative positions will be a graduate.
A jewellery seller has precious gems in white and red colour which he has put in three boxes.
The distribution of these gems is shown in the table given below:
| Box | Number of Gems | |
| White | Red | |
| I | 1 | 2 |
| I | 2 | 3 |
| III | 3 | 1 |
He wants to gift two gems to his mother. So, he asks her to select one box at random and pick out any two gems one after the other without replacement from the selected box. The mother selects one white and one red gem.
Calculate the probability that the gems drawn are from Box II.
