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प्रश्न
In an online jackpot, there is one first prize of ₹ 3,00,000, two second prizes of ₹ 2,00,000 each and three third prizes of ₹ 50,000 each.

A total of 1,00,000 jackpot tickets, each costing ₹ 100, were sold there by raising a fund of ₹ 1,00,00,000.
Rohan bought one ticket.
Based on given information, answer the following questions:
- What are the possible amounts the person can win?
-
- What is the probability that the person wins atleast ₹ 2,00,000?
OR - What is the probability that the person does not win any amount?
- What is the probability that the person wins atleast ₹ 2,00,000?
- In another jackpot, Rohan also bought a ticket having a prize money of ₹ 5,00,000. The chances of winning the jackpot are 1 in 1,00,000. Find the probability that on exactly one of tickets he wins the jackpot.
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उत्तर
(i)
A person who buys a ticket can win any one of the designated prizes. The possible amounts are:
- ₹ 3,00,000 (First Prize)
- ₹ 2,00,000 (Second Prize)
- ₹ 50,000 (Third Prize)
(Note: They can also “win” ₹ 0 if they do not hold a winning ticket.)
(ii) (a)
Total number of tickets sold (n) = 1,00,000
Winning “at least ₹2,00,000” means winning either the first prize or one of the second prizes.
- Number of 1st prize tickets = 1
- Number of 2nd prize tickets = 2
- Total favourable tickets = 1 + 2 = 3
∴ P(wins atleast 2,00,000) = `3/(1,00,000)`, or P = 0.00003
OR
(ii) (b)
To find the probability of not winning, we first find the total number of winning tickets.
- Total winning tickets = 1 (1st) + 2 (2nd) + 3 (3rd) = 6
- Total non-winning tickets = 1,00,000 − 6 = 99,994
∴ P(no win) = `(99,994)/(1,00,000)` or P = 0.99994
(iii)
- Event A: Wins Jackpot 1 (1st prize). P(A) = `1/(1,00,000)`
- Event B: Wins Jackpot 2. P(B) = `1/(1,00,000)`
To win on exactly one ticket, he must win the first and lose the second, OR lose the first and win the second:
P(Exactly one) = P(A) × P(B′) + P(A′) × P(B)
P(Exactly one) = `(1/10^5 xx (99,999)/10^5) + ((99,999)/10^5 xx 1/10^5)`
P(Exactly one) = `(99,999 + 99,999)/(10,00,00,00,000)`
P(Exactly one) = `(1,99,998)/10^10`
∴ P(Exactly one) ≈ 0.0000199998
